Non-ferrous metals difficult to get out of the shock pattern years ago

As the year draws to a close, the New Year and Spring Festival are just around the corner. The non-ferrous metal spot market is in the process of clearing and closing for the year, with trading activity gradually slowing down. Unlike previous years, there has been no significant restocking activity during the holiday season. Meanwhile, national policies have remained supportive, but underlying tensions continue to build up. At year-end, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) kept accelerating the approval of infrastructure projects, while the Ministry of Finance increased the 2013 fiscal deficit to support infrastructure development and social welfare initiatives in the coming year. Additionally, coal price linkages and other special industrial measures have contributed to rising steel prices, putting pressure on the broader metals sector. In this environment, non-ferrous metals have struggled due to declining demand at the end of the year, leading to repeated price drops. While policymakers remain optimistic about long-term growth, the micro-level supply and demand dynamics are weak, creating a complex and uncertain market climate. This mix of strong policy support and sluggish market fundamentals suggests that non-ferrous metals may continue to face challenges and find it difficult to break free from recent volatility. Investors and industry players are closely watching how these factors will evolve in the months ahead.

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